Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.477362 0.551609 0.632707 0.727744 0.835941 0.955163 1.096360
2025-07-20 0.370215 0.475805 0.602698 0.765835 0.969361 1.214216 1.530380
2025-07-27 0.305319 0.424489 0.578102 0.789317 1.070694 1.430949 1.925192
2025-08-03 0.256427 0.380642 0.550326 0.796877 1.143339 1.609763 2.281481
2025-08-10 0.217306 0.341793 0.520755 0.793625 1.195225 1.759740 2.607152
2025-08-17 0.185227 0.307180 0.490840 0.783351 1.232126 1.887753 2.908861
2025-08-24 0.160019 0.278730 0.465345 0.774696 1.267648 2.013440 3.214238
2025-08-31 0.136034 0.248403 0.432458 0.749411 1.272931 2.091483 3.451146
2025-09-07 0.128197 0.243857 0.440136 0.789372 1.384164 2.340542 3.971594
2025-09-14 0.111112 0.220579 0.413326 0.768096 1.391707 2.423638 4.231653
2025-09-21 0.096642 0.199940 0.388403 0.746740 1.395899 2.499816 4.483963
2025-09-28 0.084901 0.182772 0.367524 0.729870 1.405374 2.584142 4.754456
2025-10-05 0.078457 0.175394 0.364379 0.746014 1.476855 2.783330 5.243311
2025-10-12 0.075051 0.173808 0.372215 0.783899 1.592128 3.069422 5.908935
2025-10-19 0.070431 0.168972 0.372966 0.807806 1.682748 3.317422 6.523712
2025-10-26 0.064723 0.160908 0.366120 0.815523 1.742236 3.511789 7.053037
2025-11-02 0.058693 0.151213 0.354627 0.812201 1.778959 3.665093 7.514933
2025-11-09 0.052776 0.140898 0.340529 0.801702 1.799734 3.788549 7.927491
2025-11-16 0.047658 0.131748 0.327886 0.792859 1.822770 3.917476 8.358935
2025-11-23 0.041969 0.120295 0.308590 0.767022 1.806962 3.966757 8.634320
2025-11-30 0.041078 0.121124 0.318141 0.807855 1.939495 4.328029 9.566325
2025-12-07 0.036551 0.111578 0.301634 0.786114 1.931067 4.395415 9.896683
2025-12-14 0.032523 0.102765 0.285842 0.764292 1.920213 4.456306 10.216754